Relations between two Asian Giants China and India have again become tense due to recent face-off with Chinese army in Dokalam which is at the tri junction of India, Bhutan and China. This stand off has almost become more than a month-long . Doklam is a plateau of Bhutan. The ongoing tensions relate to the construction of a road by China in Bhutan’s Doklam region. Bhutan had reportedly protested China’s action, and sought India’s help. Indian Army then moved in to this area of construction and stopped Chinese unlawful illegal activities . Experts opined that with the construction of this road, China would have got upper hand to spy on and to isolate the sensitive India's Siliguri corridor, also known as the Chicken’s Neck.This will not be accepted by India at any cost .
This Dokalam standoff between India and China could even threaten threaten Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiatives in totality . Beijing’s should be worried that their hard hit & head on politcs is pushing New Delhi further away to other power camp which could end up making it an strong enemy next door. It's will be a strategic loss if someone's neighbors becomes an enemy .
The total India-China bilateral trade is around $71 billion .India’s trade deficit with China has mounted to a whopping $46.56 billion till last year and Indian exports continued to decline . So in case of war, it will be China who will be the main losers .
Now China isn't that dominating economic force in the world anymore. Its growth is slowing down .Its labour cost has increased many fold . There are many other economy related troubles spinning off simultaneously. The Chinese are now no more that strong but are very much vulnerably . They slowly sliding down . Now China's position as the world’s manufacturing hub and a major exporter to the world is being challenged by India .
These are the good and sufficient reasons for China , as to why not to further escalate the tensions with India and other neighbours and specially with India ,a emerging economic powerhouse with vast market and a youthful country unlike China .
Going to a full-fledged war with India, for a small issue , is not wise for China rather it will harm more because not only they will loose a big market but about their image shall also tarnish very badly ,that too after south china sea tension ,without any long-term gain . It will be a big big big mistake.
Further today's India is no longer a weak ,vulnerable country . It is as powerful as China economically , technically and a major military power , powered with high missiles and space technology . India has grown over years , and having tremendous capabilities in the areas of exports, manufacturing sectors .Probably China is playing psychological warfare as it can not defeat India a real professional & fighting force & which have enough experience of war on land war .
It would be very difficult for PLA navy to break India’s strong maritime network .China is largely reliant on imported fuel and over 80% of its oil imports sail through the Indian Ocean or Strait of Malacca. India is not like Southeast Asian countries, India with huge and superior economic , technical , defence & maritime power , shall never succumb to China’s threatening strategies .. India is strategically located at the heart of China’s energy lifeline and the Belt and Road Initiative . Offending India will only push it into the rival camp, which in turn shall try to contain China by blocking the Malacca Strait and the Indian Ocean.
It would be impossible for China to break India's maritime blockade. Offending India will only benifit China's rival camps..This is the worst military stand-off in last three decades . This impass would fuel anti-Chinese sentiment in India which China will not be able to cope up . India remains as one of the most important strategic country for China’s ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ because of its geographic location.For the sake of world peace China needs to change its stance . China's old theory of might is right , which they happens to apply very frequently on neighboring countries , is internationally not acceptable at all and it is not working too . .
China earlier flaunted international law and rules many times by virtue of their might and even said , international tribunal arbitration on South china sea is nothing but piece of paper . Height of arrogance !
International tribunal in Hague , overwhelmingly backed the Philippines in the case of disputed waters of the South -china sea .It ruled that area claimed by China in SCS are not correct and does not comes under it's territorial claims. Tribunal said some of the disputed waters in question are specifically within the exclusive economic zone of the Philippines and china had violated the Philippine's sovereign rights in those waters by interfering with its fishing and petroleum exploration and by constructing artificial islands.Trying a unilateral control over South China Sea is of grave concern for the whole world , as it is a very important for international trade route.
India has again renewed for a sensible and pragmatic conversations between India and China on accommodating each other's concerns & sensitivity to ensure peace on line of actual control . Any attempts made to change the status quo unilaterally shall not be tolerated .
Because of China's unlawful aggressive postures towards it's neighbouring countries , an inclination to support Terrorism against third country like Jaishe Mohammad out fit and disrespect for international tribunal , China now is more or less internationally isolated .
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